BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionCCheeki_Breekiwin 1:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:0
AVULUSloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cheeki_Breeki
No games played over 6 months.
AVULUS
Jakirooften banned
Fly · 17 games
Tusk
Wein · 17 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 16 games
Snapfire
JANTER · 15 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Xibbe · 14 games
Lycanoften banned
Xibbe · 14 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Smiling Knight · 14 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Lorenof · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
609 picks · 620 bans
Snapfire
519 picks · 205 bans
Dragon Knight
515 picks · 690 bans
Tusk
514 picks · 324 bans
Hoodwink
463 picks · 231 bans
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 531 bans
Mars
407 picks · 553 bans
Pangolier
388 picks · 565 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% AVULUS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% AVULUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:15
Cheeki_Breeki 35%AVULUS 65%
The model gave 65% on AVULUS — the game was taken by Cheeki_Breeki in 44:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteAVULUS · 65%
Series resultCheeki_Breeki 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1