EEF Dota 2 Qualifier 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Черногорияloss 0:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Норвегияwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Черногория
No games played over 6 months.
Норвегия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
660 picks · 519 bans
Marci
477 picks · 703 bans
Dawnbreaker
442 picks · 610 bans
Puck
434 picks · 896 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 419 bans
Zeus
296 picks · 389 bans
Death Prophet
279 picks · 469 bans
Razor
276 picks · 498 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Черногория
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Норвегия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Черногория 49%Норвегия 51%
The model gave 51% on Норвегия — the game was taken by Норвегия.
Model check result
Model favoriteНорвегия · 51%
Series resultНорвегия 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1