Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
Chicken Fightersloss 0:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Bramewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chicken Fighters
No games played over 6 months.
Brame
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 20 games
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 15 games
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 13 games
Kunkkasignature
W1sh- · 13 games
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
486 picks · 349 bans
Mars
440 picks · 642 bans
Queen of Pain
377 picks · 469 bans
Weaver
375 picks · 821 bans
Snapfire
363 picks · 190 bans
Kunkka
296 picks · 495 bans
Spirit Breaker
286 picks · 437 bans
Ember Spirit
259 picks · 349 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% Brame
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total55% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:30
Chicken Fighters 55%Brame 45%
The model gave 55% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Brame in 51:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 55%
Series resultBrame 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1