Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Fightersloss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CHILLAXwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chicken Fighters
No games played over 6 months.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
446 picks · 267 bans
Mars
395 picks · 544 bans
Weaver
333 picks · 427 bans
Death Prophet
314 picks · 556 bans
Queen of Pain
307 picks · 468 bans
Tiny
293 picks · 316 bans
Ember Spirit
273 picks · 371 bans
Kunkka
271 picks · 499 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Chicken Fighters
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total56% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:42
Chicken Fighters 56%CHILLAX 44%
The model gave 56% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 39:11.
Game 2prediction missed30:33
Chicken Fighters 56%CHILLAX 44%
The model gave 56% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 43:29.
Game 3prediction missed38:22
Chicken Fighters 56%CHILLAX 44%
The model gave 56% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 46:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 56%
Series resultCHILLAX 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3