Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Европа 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Fightersloss 0:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Level UPwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chicken Fighters
No games played over 6 months.
Level UP
Dark Seeroften banned
Mastermind · 2 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Bor@nija · 2 games
Dark Willow
Bor@nija · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Bor@nija · 1 game
Mirana
Mastermind · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
Bor@nija · 1 game
Sand King
Bor@nija · 1 game
Slardaroften banned
Mastermind · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
410 picks · 1006 bans
Mars
363 picks · 583 bans
Grimstroke
347 picks · 356 bans
Void Spirit
340 picks · 526 bans
Lion
338 picks · 177 bans
Death Prophet
329 picks · 702 bans
Tusk
307 picks · 224 bans
Earth Spirit
262 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% Chicken Fighters
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:24
Chicken Fighters 65%Level UP 35%
The model gave 65% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Level UP in 30:46.
Game 2prediction missed29:25
Chicken Fighters 65%Level UP 35%
The model gave 65% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Level UP in 49:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 65%
Series resultLevel UP 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2