Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Fighterswin 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Slot Seekersloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chicken Fighters
No games played over 6 months.
Slot Seekers
Ogre Magi
Flash · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
ZipZaper · 2 games
Bane
Flash · 1 game
Bloodseekeroften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
ntakii · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
ntakii · 1 game
Lunaoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
Marsoften banned
ZipZaper · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
261 picks · 348 bans
Tidehunter
255 picks · 383 bans
Monkey King
253 picks · 579 bans
Bane
220 picks · 146 bans
Lion
217 picks · 100 bans
Void Spirit
217 picks · 248 bans
Lina
212 picks · 456 bans
Pangolier
210 picks · 261 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% Slot Seekers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:46
Chicken Fighters 59%Slot Seekers 41%
The model gave 59% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 52:00.
Game 2prediction missed40:14
Chicken Fighters 59%Slot Seekers 41%
The model gave 59% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 35:55.
Game 3prediction missed19:34
Chicken Fighters 59%Slot Seekers 41%
The model gave 59% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 33:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 59%
Series resultChicken Fighters 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3