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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Fighterswin 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Spider Pigzsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Chicken Fighters

No games played over 6 months.

Spider Pigzs

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
LeBronDota · 14 games
36%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
No!ob · 12 games
58%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
dnz · 12 games
33%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
No!ob · 12 games
42%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Fervian · 11 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
dnz · 11 games
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
LeBronDota · 10 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
dnz · 10 games
30%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
422 picks · 170 bans
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
310 picks · 465 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
310 picks · 519 bans
51%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
297 picks · 624 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
296 picks · 743 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
289 picks · 162 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
277 picks · 361 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
268 picks · 218 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Chicken Fighters
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:16
Chicken Fighters 65%Spider Pigzs 35%
The model gave 65% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Spider Pigzs in 43:27.
Game 2prediction missed32:23
Chicken Fighters 65%Spider Pigzs 35%
The model gave 65% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Spider Pigzs in 28:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 65%
Series resultChicken Fighters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2