Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
ChillOutloss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Empirewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ChillOut
No games played over 6 months.
Team Empire
Marsoften banned
DkFogas · 21 game
Bane
Kaori · 20 games
Grimstroke
[T]SA · 18 games
Clockwerk
[T]SA · 14 games
Sand Kingoften banned
DkFogas · 14 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 11 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Dodren · 11 games
Tinysignature
Cooman · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
469 picks · 651 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 440 bans
Bane
450 picks · 274 bans
Sand King
413 picks · 562 bans
Dragon Knight
406 picks · 485 bans
Storm Spirit
400 picks · 652 bans
Pangolier
366 picks · 561 bans
Grimstroke
341 picks · 295 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 37%
Hero pool strength56% ChillOut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Team Empire
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
ChillOut 35%Team Empire 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Empire — the game was taken by Team Empire.
Game 2prediction correct
ChillOut 35%Team Empire 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Empire — the game was taken by Team Empire.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire · 65%
Series resultTeam Empire 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2