ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Chimera Esportswin 2:0series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chimera Esports
Muertasignature
OneJey · 14 games
Shadow Demonsignature
OneJey · 12 games
Clockwerksignature
OneJey · 11 games
Enigmasignature
Daxak · 11 games
Pugnasignature
Panto · 10 games
Magnussignature
TA2000 · 9 games
Pangoliersignature
Lorenof · 9 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 9 games
Winners
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
482 picks · 404 bans
Clockwerk
449 picks · 563 bans
Batrider
416 picks · 518 bans
Lion
409 picks · 218 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 670 bans
Phoenix
395 picks · 445 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 592 bans
Beastmaster
357 picks · 915 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)74% vs 40%
Hero pool strength62% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total95% Chimera Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Chimera Esports 95%Winners 5%
The model gave 95% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by Chimera Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Chimera Esports 95%Winners 5%
The model gave 95% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by Chimera Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteChimera Esports · 95%
Series resultChimera Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2