FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2 — Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionCBChimpanzini Bananiniloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HunterZwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chimpanzini Bananini
No games played over 6 months.
HunterZ
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
300 picks · 193 bans
Puck
292 picks · 664 bans
Dark Willow
261 picks · 109 bans
Tusk
256 picks · 253 bans
Dawnbreaker
251 picks · 618 bans
Nature's Prophet
250 picks · 516 bans
Marci
244 picks · 529 bans
Batrider
241 picks · 676 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Chimpanzini Bananini
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Chimpanzini Bananini
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:31
Chimpanzini Bananini 56%HunterZ 44%
The model gave 56% on Chimpanzini Bananini — the game was taken by HunterZ in 49:15.
Game 2prediction missed10:35
Chimpanzini Bananini 56%HunterZ 44%
The model gave 56% on Chimpanzini Bananini — the game was taken by HunterZ in 33:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteChimpanzini Bananini · 56%
Series resultHunterZ 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2