Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs predictionCChipsblloss 0:2
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CHILLAXwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chipsbl
Dragon Knightoften banned
Tabletkee · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
Tabletkee · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Tabletkee · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
Tabletkee · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Tabletkee · 1 game
Night Stalkeroften banned
Tabletkee · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
Tabletkee · 1 game
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
442 picks · 275 bans
Mars
428 picks · 577 bans
Tiny
389 picks · 456 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 739 bans
Sand King
327 picks · 454 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 472 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 420 bans
Pangolier
284 picks · 430 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% CHILLAX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% CHILLAX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:24
Chipsbl 17%CHILLAX 83%
The model gave 83% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 28:57.
Game 2prediction correct9:21
Chipsbl 17%CHILLAX 83%
The model gave 83% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 22:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteCHILLAX · 83%
Series resultCHILLAX 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2