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Открытые киберспортивные игры 2025 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
ChristoFirewin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4Piratesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ChristoFire

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
ssnovv1 · 2 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
asdekor_r · 2 games
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Difference · 1 game
0%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
ssnovv1 · 1 game
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 1 game
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 1 game
100%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Immersion · 1 game
0%

4Pirates

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
ariel · 39 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
мистер мораль · 37 games
46%
Tusk
Tusk
PERDAN4IK · 37 games
38%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Otaker · 34 games
59%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 29 games
55%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
PERDAN4IK · 27 games
33%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
ariel · 27 games
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 26 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
772 picks · 358 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
580 picks · 300 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
551 picks · 561 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
523 picks · 370 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
505 picks · 609 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
483 picks · 284 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
467 picks · 745 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 504 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% 4Pirates
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% ChristoFire
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:27
ChristoFire 57%4Pirates 43%
The model gave 57% on ChristoFire — the game was taken by ChristoFire in 41:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
Bristlebackssnovv1
54% · 144 games54% · 264 games
Marcizvёzd
Marci
Leshrac
LeshracDifference
52% · 94 games50% · 129 games
Enigmaмистер мораль
Enigma
Mars
Marskolya_kaBAN68
47% · 143 games44% · 210 games
EnchantressPERDAN4IK
Enchantress
Bane
Baneasdekor_r
56% · 107 games49% · 103 games
Pudgeariel
Pudge
Tusk
TuskImmersion
46% · 218 games
Game 2prediction correct41:21
ChristoFire 56%4Pirates 44%
The model gave 56% on ChristoFire — the game was taken by ChristoFire in 44:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
Ursassnovv1
56% · 164 games51% · 179 games
Morphlingzvёzd
Morphling
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightDifference
43% · 228 games50% · 95 games
Underlordмистер мораль
Underlord
Axe
Axekolya_kaBAN68
48% · 129 games47% · 434 games
Tuskariel
Tusk
Windranger
WindrangerImmersion
44% · 116 games55% · 107 games
DazzlePERDAN4IK
Dazzle
Ringmaster
Ringmasterasdekor_r
57% · 178 games
Model check result
Model favoriteChristoFire · 62%
Series resultChristoFire 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2