Открытые киберспортивные игры 2024 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
ChristoFirewin 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NoLimitloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ChristoFire
No games played over 6 months.
NoLimit
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
500 picks · 681 bans
Clockwerk
424 picks · 479 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 546 bans
Luna
358 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
339 picks · 177 bans
Dragon Knight
332 picks · 444 bans
Enchantress
325 picks · 659 bans
Batrider
315 picks · 325 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% ChristoFire
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% ChristoFire
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
ChristoFire 51%NoLimit 49%
The model gave 51% on ChristoFire — the game was taken by ChristoFire.
Game 2prediction correct
ChristoFire 51%NoLimit 49%
The model gave 51% on ChristoFire — the game was taken by ChristoFire.
Model check result
Model favoriteChristoFire · 51%
Series resultChristoFire 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2