Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs predictionCChubbyBoizwin 2:0
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KOBOLDSloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ChubbyBoiz
No games played over 6 months.
KOBOLDS
Wraith Kingoften banned
FortuneSoul · 5 games
Gyrocopter
FortuneSoul · 3 games
Lifestealeroften banned
FortuneSoul · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
FortuneSoul · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
FortuneSoul · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
FortuneSoul · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
505 picks · 348 bans
Queen of Pain
450 picks · 563 bans
Weaver
408 picks · 638 bans
Mars
400 picks · 568 bans
Kunkka
329 picks · 530 bans
Spirit Breaker
313 picks · 558 bans
Snapfire
294 picks · 139 bans
Wraith King
272 picks · 359 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% KOBOLDS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% KOBOLDS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteKOBOLDS · 69%
Series resultChubbyBoiz 2:0
Series predictionmissed