PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Cignal Ultraloss 0:2series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cignal Ultra
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Abat · 7 games
Puckoften banned
Jamesy · 6 games
Marsoften banned
Jamesy · 4 games
Rikioften banned
Abat · 4 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Abat · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
Ab1ng · 3 games
Leshracoften banned
Jamesy · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Jamesy · 2 games
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 12 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 12 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 8 games
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
Phoenixsignature
Poloson · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
459 picks · 180 bans
Snapfire
353 picks · 196 bans
Mars
348 picks · 551 bans
Puck
328 picks · 816 bans
Ancient Apparition
320 picks · 478 bans
Nyx Assassin
313 picks · 615 bans
Tiny
300 picks · 241 bans
Enchantress
287 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 54%
Hero pool strength58% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total80% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 80%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect