BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Cloud Dawningwin 1:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Cloud Risingloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cloud Dawning
No games played over 6 months.
Cloud Rising
Clinkzoften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 2 games
Clockwerk
Undyne_ · 1 game
Crystal Maiden
Undyne_ · 1 game
Dazzleoften banned
Undyne_ · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Q7 · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
674 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 426 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1132 bans
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 684 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Cloud Rising
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Cloud Rising
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Cloud Dawning 49%Cloud Rising 51%
The model gave 51% on Cloud Rising — the game was taken by Cloud Dawning.
Model check result
Model favoriteCloud Rising · 51%
Series resultCloud Dawning 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1