PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionCEContinuum Esports Goldwin 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KKoT.Nextloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Continuum Esports Gold
No games played over 6 months.
KoT.Next
Puckoften banned
high_shaggy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
435 picks · 708 bans
Mars
412 picks · 665 bans
Techies
410 picks · 326 bans
Lion
397 picks · 359 bans
Tiny
393 picks · 502 bans
Batrider
392 picks · 864 bans
Crystal Maiden
370 picks · 164 bans
Vengeful Spirit
364 picks · 361 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Continuum Esports Gold
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Continuum Esports Gold
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:22
Continuum Esports Gold 50%KoT.Next 50%
The model gave 50% on Continuum Esports Gold — the game was taken by Continuum Esports Gold in 23:33.
Game 2prediction correct36:9
Continuum Esports Gold 50%KoT.Next 50%
The model gave 50% on Continuum Esports Gold — the game was taken by Continuum Esports Gold in 24:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteContinuum Esports Gold · 50%
Series resultContinuum Esports Gold 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2