BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Cooman Teamloss 1:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Stray Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cooman Team
No games played over 6 months.
Stray Team
Muerta
Retsu · 4 games
Dark Willow
lowkez · 3 games
Legion Commander
DkFogas · 3 games
Rubick
lowkez · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
Shadow Shaman
lowkez · 3 games
Silenceroften banned
Vovapain · 3 games
Slardar
Stray · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
314 picks · 781 bans
Disruptor
312 picks · 289 bans
Shadow Shaman
272 picks · 171 bans
Dawnbreaker
269 picks · 734 bans
Pugna
268 picks · 300 bans
Tusk
264 picks · 248 bans
Marci
260 picks · 756 bans
Snapfire
259 picks · 123 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Stray Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:37
Cooman Team 49%Stray Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 32:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
RazorCooman
BroodmotherRetsu
Weaverjudah
SlardarDkFogas
Centaur WarrunnerLagoona
LionStray
PhoenixRavshan
Skywrath MageStint
DisruptorDegi
RubickVovapain
Game 2prediction correct33:28
Cooman Team 50%Stray Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Cooman Team — the game was taken by Cooman Team in 44:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopterjudah
SvenRetsu
Void SpiritCooman
EnigmaDkFogas
PhoenixLagoona
EarthshakerStray
Spirit BreakerRavshan
Skywrath MageStint
ClockwerkDegi
GrimstrokeVovapain
Game 3prediction correct11:32
Cooman Team 49%Stray Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 44:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlordjudah
UrsaRetsu
BristlebackLagoona
LycanDkFogas
WindrangerCooman
ViperStray
PugnaRavshan
Crystal MaidenStint
Naga SirenDegi
OracleVovapain
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 51%
Series resultStray Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3