DreamLeague Season 23 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionCCOPPYBEBRAwin 1:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
FGFun gamersloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
COPPYBEBRA
No games played over 6 months.
Fun gamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
409 picks · 658 bans
Mars
388 picks · 617 bans
Lion
386 picks · 358 bans
Techies
383 picks · 312 bans
Batrider
368 picks · 798 bans
Tiny
365 picks · 420 bans
Vengeful Spirit
355 picks · 356 bans
Pangolier
338 picks · 564 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% COPPYBEBRA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% COPPYBEBRA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
COPPYBEBRA 52%Fun gamers 48%
The model gave 52% on COPPYBEBRA — the game was taken by COPPYBEBRA.
Model check result
Model favoriteCOPPYBEBRA · 52%
Series resultCOPPYBEBRA 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1