Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Cuyes Esportsloss 1:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:2
FSFree Stackwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cuyes Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Free Stack
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 219 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 643 bans
Batrider
421 picks · 727 bans
Centaur Warrunner
406 picks · 583 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
Rubick
390 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 801 bans
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 960 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Cuyes Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Cuyes Esports 66%Free Stack 34%
The model gave 66% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Cuyes Esports 66%Free Stack 34%
The model gave 66% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Free Stack.
Game 3prediction missed
Cuyes Esports 66%Free Stack 34%
The model gave 66% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Free Stack.
Model check result
Model favoriteCuyes Esports · 66%
Series resultFree Stack 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3