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DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Cuyes Esportswin 2:1
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Pacific esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Cuyes Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 10 games
80%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Mjz · 6 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
ILICH- · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Mjz · 5 games
60%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
75%
Doom
Doomoften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Parker · 4 games
50%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
75%

Pacific esports

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
347 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
330 picks · 317 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
325 picks · 378 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
324 picks · 458 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
315 picks · 263 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
288 picks · 446 bans
47%
Enchantress
Enchantress
284 picks · 475 bans
50%
Sven
Sven
283 picks · 297 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Cuyes Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Cuyes Esports 86%Pacific esports 14%
The model gave 86% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Pacific esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Cuyes Esports 86%Pacific esports 14%
The model gave 86% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports.
Game 3prediction correct
Cuyes Esports 86%Pacific esports 14%
The model gave 86% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteCuyes Esports · 86%
Series resultCuyes Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3