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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Cyber Gooseloss 1:2
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Quantum Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Cyber Goose

No games played over 6 months.

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 13 games
38%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
42%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 11 games
18%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
27%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
20%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 8 games
13%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Lukas · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ankou · 8 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
481 picks · 447 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
472 picks · 550 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
444 picks · 227 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
348 picks · 681 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 462 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 694 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
295 picks · 245 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
287 picks · 86 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 33%
Hero pool strength58% Cyber Goose
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Cyber Goose
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:31
Cyber Goose 68%Quantum Team 32%
The model gave 68% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 45:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonTA2000
48% · 65 games45% · 156 games
SvenLukas
Sven
Monkey King
Monkey KingChira JUNIOR
56% · 237 games51% · 106 games
BrewmasterPalantimos
Brewmaster
Dark Seer
Dark SeerNoticed
53% · 216 games49% · 289 games
Storm SpiritAinkrad
Storm Spirit
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSolo
52% · 94 games46% · 265 games
Batrideremptiness
Batrider
Tusk
Tuskprblms
46% · 255 games55% · 51 game
OracleMary_y
Oracle
Game 2prediction correct24:14
Cyber Goose 68%Quantum Team 32%
The model gave 68% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 29:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaTA2000
41% · 154 games55% · 21 game
SpectreLukas
Spectre
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritChira JUNIOR
49% · 256 games58% · 102 games
DawnbreakerPalantimos
Dawnbreaker
Kunkka
KunkkaNoticed
41% · 131 game54% · 225 games
Sand KingAinkrad
Sand King
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanprblms
45% · 102 games60% · 125 games
Ancient ApparitionMary_y
Ancient Apparition
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSolo
47% · 171 game51% · 341 game
Tuskemptiness
Tusk
Game 3prediction missed19:22
Cyber Goose 66%Quantum Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 41:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaTA2000
48% · 141 game51% · 124 games
LifestealerLukas
Lifestealer
Pangolier
PangolierNoticed
45% · 457 games52% · 546 games
TinyAinkrad
Tiny
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
53% · 389 games55% · 256 games
Dark SeerPalantimos
Dark Seer
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSolo
48% · 165 games51% · 138 games
Shadow Shamanemptiness
Shadow Shaman
Windranger
Windrangerprblms
48% · 285 games49% · 373 games
JakiroMary_y
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteCyber Goose · 80%
Series resultQuantum Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3