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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Cyber Goosewin 2:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Runa Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Cyber Goose

No games played over 6 months.

Runa Team

Windranger
Windranger
queezy · 21 game
52%
Tiny
Tinysignature
nicky`cool · 15 games
73%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Hduo · 12 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Hduo · 12 games
75%
Batrider
Batridersignature
nicky`cool · 9 games
78%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
nicky`cool · 9 games
67%
Silencer
Silencer
Hduo · 9 games
56%
Slark
Slarksignature
Shigetsu · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
479 picks · 455 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
460 picks · 534 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
438 picks · 215 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
343 picks · 625 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 431 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
291 picks · 632 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 207 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
274 picks · 78 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% Runa Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Cyber Goose
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:23
Cyber Goose 56%Runa Team 44%
The model gave 56% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Runa Team in 39:28.
Game 2prediction correct36:6
Cyber Goose 56%Runa Team 44%
The model gave 56% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 28:21.
Game 3prediction correct53:17
Cyber Goose 56%Runa Team 44%
The model gave 56% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 38:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteCyber Goose · 56%
Series resultCyber Goose 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3