Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatsloss 0:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hydrawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Grimstroke
Fezor · 8 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 7 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
Jakiro
Fezor · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
Bane
Hduo · 4 games
Rubick
Fezor · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 4 games
Hydra
Banesignature
Zayac · 30 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 30 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 27 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 24 games
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 24 games
Invokersignature
Askold · 23 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 19 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
443 picks · 263 bans
Mars
398 picks · 543 bans
Death Prophet
314 picks · 606 bans
Tiny
308 picks · 356 bans
Weaver
307 picks · 395 bans
Ember Spirit
281 picks · 389 bans
Queen of Pain
277 picks · 451 bans
Templar Assassin
264 picks · 542 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 54%
Hero pool strength61% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total83% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 83%
Series resultHydra 0:2
Series predictioncorrect