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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Fezor · 8 games
38%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 7 games
29%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Fezor · 5 games
20%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
20%
Bane
Bane
Hduo · 4 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Fezor · 4 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 4 games
75%

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
78%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 10 games
60%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 10 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 7 games
86%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Hellscream · 7 games
57%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
smN · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
466 picks · 635 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
454 picks · 283 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 492 bans
50%
Sand King
Sand King
401 picks · 531 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
358 picks · 796 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
346 picks · 551 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 558 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
336 picks · 511 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 64%
Hero pool strength64% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total65% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:11
cybercats 35%KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 65%
The model gave 65% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by cybercats in 45:59.
Game 2prediction missed41:50
cybercats 35%KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 65%
The model gave 65% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by cybercats in 41:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 65%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2