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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatsloss 1:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
No Sorrywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 13 games
46%
Tiny
Tiny
Chira JUNIOR · 13 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
forcemajor · 11 games
55%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
DkFogas · 10 games
30%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
forcemajor · 10 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptor
forcemajor · 8 games
38%
Doom
Doomoften banned
zenica · 8 games
38%
Mirana
Mirana
forcemajor · 8 games
50%

No Sorry

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
BLACKARXANGEL · 18 games
44%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 16 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BLACKARXANGEL · 13 games
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Dodren · 13 games
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 11 games
45%
Rubick
Rubick
ArrOw · 11 games
36%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Dominic · 9 games
44%
Tusk
Tusk
Dodren · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
1003 picks · 699 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
652 picks · 478 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
598 picks · 951 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
546 picks · 433 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
532 picks · 365 bans
45%
Disruptor
Disruptor
529 picks · 394 bans
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
513 picks · 1199 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
501 picks · 379 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 36%
Hero pool strength50% cybercats
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total56% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:41
cybercats 53%No Sorry 47%
The model gave 53% on cybercats — the game was taken by No Sorry in 42:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
42% · 146 games55% · 161 game
UrsaDinozavrik
Ursa
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidAlberkaaa
56% · 179 games50% · 616 games
TinyDodren
Tiny
Primal Beast
Primal BeastDkFogas
47% · 302 games54% · 71 game
Centaur WarrunnerDominic
Centaur Warrunner
Jakiro
Jakiroforcemajor
45% · 116 games51% · 235 games
HoodwinkFezor
Hoodwink
Rubick
Rubickjesv
50% · 709 games50% · 369 games
ClockwerkBLACKARXANGEL
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct28:11
cybercats 53%No Sorry 47%
The model gave 53% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 26:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerAlberkaaa
35% · 54 games41% · 170 games
Drow RangerDinozavrik
Drow Ranger
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
57% · 251 game55% · 249 games
BatriderDodren
Batrider
Enigma
EnigmaDkFogas
53% · 166 games48% · 81 game
Centaur WarrunnerDominic
Centaur Warrunner
Clockwerk
Clockwerkjesv
53% · 235 games51% · 377 games
UndyingBLACKARXANGEL
Undying
Disruptor
Disruptorforcemajor
54% · 227 games41% · 56 games
Shadow DemonFezor
Shadow Demon
Game 3prediction missed17:26
cybercats 50%No Sorry 50%
The model gave 50% on cybercats — the game was taken by No Sorry in 33:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanDkFogas
48% · 93 games49% · 45 games
Phantom AssassinDinozavrik
Phantom Assassin
Abaddon
AbaddonAlberkaaa
42% · 46 games49% · 98 games
Centaur WarrunnerDominic
Centaur Warrunner
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightChira JUNIOR
41% · 134 games65% · 25 games
Outworld DestroyerDodren
Outworld Destroyer
Enchantress
Enchantressjesv
52% · 229 games52% · 476 games
RubickFezor
Rubick
Snapfire
Snapfireforcemajor
51% · 326 games55% · 184 games
Crystal MaidenBLACKARXANGEL
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 56%
Series resultNo Sorry 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3