cybercats vs Team Sexy — prediction EPLS 6 · Dota 2

arrow_backBack to match

European Pro League Season 6 · BO3

result vs prediction

cybercatsloss 0:2

series probability

63%37%

probability at match start · final 0:2

Team Sexywin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Dazzlesignature

Hduo · 17 games

65%

Hoodwink

Fezor · 15 games

53%

Marcioften banned

Hduo · 15 games

40%

Clockwerk

Hduo · 14 games

50%

Visageoften banned

DkFogas · 13 games

54%

Enigmaoften banned

DkFogas · 9 games

44%

Lycanoften banned

DkFogas · 9 games

56%

Skywrath Mage

Fezor · 9 games

56%

Team Sexy

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Tusk

395 picks · 382 bans

55%

Tiny

353 picks · 355 bans

49%

Rubick

333 picks · 229 bans

57%

Mirana

286 picks · 288 bans

53%

Snapfire

212 picks · 111 bans

49%

Treant Protector

210 picks · 265 bans

55%

Crystal Maiden

208 picks · 148 bans

50%

Pangolier

191 picks · 525 bans

54%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)46% vs 57%

Hero pool strength53% cybercats

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total63% cybercats

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction missed17:32

cybercats 56%Team Sexy 44%

The model gave 56% on cybercats — the game was taken by Team Sexy in 51:14.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo