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Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatsloss 0:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YNTwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 34 games
53%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 18 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
72%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 17 games
65%
Visage
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 17 games
82%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
75%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
46%

YNT

Sand King
Sand King
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 8 games
25%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
33%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 6 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
729 picks · 571 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
505 picks · 1022 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
488 picks · 647 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
468 picks · 810 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
377 picks · 420 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
332 picks · 164 bans
48%
Zeus
Zeus
328 picks · 391 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
303 picks · 585 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 56%
Hero pool strength59% cybercats
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total64% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:30
cybercats 64%YNT 36%
The model gave 64% on cybercats — the game was taken by YNT in 21:13.
Game 2prediction missed40:60
cybercats 64%YNT 36%
The model gave 64% on cybercats — the game was taken by YNT in 1:02:21.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 64%
Series resultYNT 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2