BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlerswin 2:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Hokoriloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
348 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
293 picks · 107 bans
Mars
262 picks · 407 bans
Lina
256 picks · 507 bans
Pangolier
255 picks · 348 bans
Luna
235 picks · 332 bans
Shadow Demon
225 picks · 235 bans
Nyx Assassin
218 picks · 470 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 45%
Hero pool strength50% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:34
D2 Hustlers 51%Hokori 49%
The model gave 51% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Hokori in 42:08.
Game 2prediction missed31:33
D2 Hustlers 51%Hokori 49%
The model gave 51% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Hokori in 1:00:03.
Game 3prediction missed21:39
D2 Hustlers 51%Hokori 49%
The model gave 51% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Hokori in 36:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 51%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3