BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlerswin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Cutloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
The Cut
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 10 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Timbersawoften banned
TingleK1ng · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 5 games
Hoodwink
Giant · 4 games
Magnusoften banned
TingleK1ng · 4 games
Marsoften banned
TingleK1ng · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
397 picks · 214 bans
Puck
397 picks · 997 bans
Mars
388 picks · 639 bans
Grimstroke
371 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
336 picks · 187 bans
Tiny
302 picks · 211 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 221 bans
Centaur Warrunner
277 picks · 374 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 22%
Hero pool strength52% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:30
D2 Hustlers 79%The Cut 21%
The model gave 79% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by The Cut in 35:19.
Game 2prediction missed23:26
D2 Hustlers 79%The Cut 21%
The model gave 79% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by The Cut in 39:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 79%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2