The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelionswin 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
484 picks · 223 bans
Tiny
452 picks · 745 bans
Centaur Warrunner
431 picks · 643 bans
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 409 bans
Batrider
406 picks · 759 bans
Rubick
385 picks · 167 bans
Dragon Knight
357 picks · 1047 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 744 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 31%
Hero pool strength50% Dandelions
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total86% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:14
Dandelions 86%HAVU Gaming 14%
The model gave 86% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 35:30.
Game 2prediction correct27:47
Dandelions 86%HAVU Gaming 14%
The model gave 86% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 49:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 86%
Series resultDandelions 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2