Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Kalmychatawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Kalmychata
Ember Spiritoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 9 games
Rubick
xsvampire · 9 games
Ursaoften banned
Retsu · 7 games
Elder Titan
antoha · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Retsu · 5 games
Brewmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 4 games
Dark Willowoften banned
xsvampire · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
381 picks · 757 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 322 bans
Rubick
344 picks · 234 bans
Weaver
338 picks · 689 bans
Clockwerk
318 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
309 picks · 380 bans
Pangolier
305 picks · 525 bans
Phoenix
289 picks · 606 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:29
Dandelions 68%Kalmychata 32%
The model gave 68% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Kalmychata in 50:48.
Game 2prediction missed
Dandelions 68%Kalmychata 32%
The model gave 68% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Kalmychata.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 68%
Series resultKalmychata 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2