RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 1:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
MOUZloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
MOUZ
Gyrocopter
bengan · 4 games
Sven
Ulnit · 4 games
Bane
bengan · 3 games
Leshracoften banned
Supream^ · 3 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Supream^ · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
bengan · 3 games
Tiny
NARMAN · 3 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
383 picks · 352 bans
Vengeful Spirit
342 picks · 336 bans
Centaur Warrunner
338 picks · 529 bans
Mars
324 picks · 490 bans
Techies
315 picks · 250 bans
Batrider
301 picks · 580 bans
Hoodwink
300 picks · 177 bans
Tiny
287 picks · 261 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% MOUZ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:15
Dandelions 42%MOUZ 58%
The model gave 58% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 42:45.
Game 2prediction correct16:35
Dandelions 42%MOUZ 58%
The model gave 58% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 34:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 58%
Accuracy by game2 of 2