RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionswin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Crystal Maiden
aik · 26 games
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 25 games
Rubick
queezy · 25 games
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 23 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 21 game
Pangoliersignature
nicky`cool · 15 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
Weaveroften banned
Lukas · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
386 picks · 702 bans
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 376 bans
Weaver
322 picks · 620 bans
Clockwerk
321 picks · 467 bans
Hoodwink
320 picks · 254 bans
Rubick
318 picks · 212 bans
Dark Willow
306 picks · 350 bans
Pangolier
295 picks · 538 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total50% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed3:27
Dandelions 50%Nemiga Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 25:39.
Game 2prediction missed4:19
Dandelions 50%Nemiga Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 17:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 50%
Series resultDandelions 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2