RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
One Movewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
One Move
Hoodwink
queezy · 10 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 8 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Rein · 8 games
Marsoften banned
SSS · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
Wein · 7 games
Leshracoften banned
xn丶e · 6 games
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
Phoenix
Panto · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
481 picks · 212 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 617 bans
Batrider
405 picks · 736 bans
Rubick
391 picks · 157 bans
Centaur Warrunner
387 picks · 542 bans
Gyrocopter
377 picks · 318 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 724 bans
Mars
335 picks · 546 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 38%
Hero pool strength57% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:31
Dandelions 49%One Move 51%
The model gave 51% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 50:55.
Game 2prediction correct46:14
Dandelions 49%One Move 51%
The model gave 51% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 26:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 51%
Series resultOne Move 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2