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RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelionswin 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
One Moveloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Dandelions

No games played over 6 months.

One Move

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 13 games
38%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
WoE · 11 games
64%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 10 games
10%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
40%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 10 games
30%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SSS · 10 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Rein · 9 games
67%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Rein · 9 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
385 picks · 750 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
345 picks · 313 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
343 picks · 233 bans
49%
Weaver
Weaver
338 picks · 683 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
310 picks · 380 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
305 picks · 534 bans
47%
Phoenix
Phoenix
287 picks · 606 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Dandelions
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total63% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:22
Dandelions 63%One Move 37%
The model gave 63% on Dandelions — the game was taken by One Move in 42:19.
Game 2prediction missed34:30
Dandelions 63%One Move 37%
The model gave 63% on Dandelions — the game was taken by One Move in 58:15.
Game 3prediction missed35:15
Dandelions 63%One Move 37%
The model gave 63% on Dandelions — the game was taken by One Move in 36:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 63%
Series resultDandelions 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3