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European Pro League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelionswin 2:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SIBE Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Dandelions

No games played over 6 months.

SIBE Team

Rubick
Rubick
sunset · 20 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ряф^^ · 10 games
40%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
sunset · 10 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
ряф^^ · 9 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 9 games
33%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Rein · 8 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Rein · 8 games
38%
Luna
Luna
nesfeer · 8 games
13%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
480 picks · 743 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
462 picks · 914 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
454 picks · 201 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
450 picks · 608 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
432 picks · 193 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
432 picks · 327 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
427 picks · 685 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
423 picks · 720 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% SIBE Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Dandelions 46%SIBE Team 54%
The model gave 54% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team.
Game 2prediction correct30:13
Dandelions 46%SIBE Team 54%
The model gave 54% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 25:20.
Game 3prediction correct37:6
Dandelions 46%SIBE Team 54%
The model gave 54% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 24:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIBE Team · 54%
Series resultDandelions 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3