Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Daxak Teamloss 1:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
VooDooSh Clubwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Daxak Team
No games played over 6 months.
VooDooSh Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
553 picks · 342 bans
Phoenix
474 picks · 564 bans
Rubick
447 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
426 picks · 356 bans
Pangolier
372 picks · 511 bans
Puck
321 picks · 848 bans
Beastmaster
314 picks · 795 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Daxak Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Daxak Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Daxak Team 53%VooDooSh Club 47%
The model gave 53% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by VooDooSh Club.
Game 2prediction correct
Daxak Team 53%VooDooSh Club 47%
The model gave 53% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by Daxak Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Daxak Team 53%VooDooSh Club 47%
The model gave 53% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by VooDooSh Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteDaxak Team · 53%
Series resultVooDooSh Club 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3