Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionDDDead Denastyloss 0:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
SShashMinwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dead Denasty
No games played over 6 months.
ShashMin
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 540 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
Terrorblade
346 picks · 659 bans
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 452 bans
Ancient Apparition
297 picks · 678 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 232 bans
Windranger
283 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Dead Denasty
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Dead Denasty
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Dead Denasty 56%ShashMin 44%
The model gave 56% on Dead Denasty — the game was taken by ShashMin.
Model check result
Model favoriteDead Denasty · 56%
Series resultShashMin 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1