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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Dead Denastyloss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Dead Denasty

No games played over 6 months.

Wildcard Gaming

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Bignum · 7 games
71%
Magnus
Magnussignature
YamSun · 7 games
71%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Speeed · 5 games
80%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bignum · 4 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 4 games
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
YamSun · 4 games
75%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Fayde · 4 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
483 picks · 410 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
452 picks · 571 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
422 picks · 524 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
414 picks · 225 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
411 picks · 686 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
404 picks · 455 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
377 picks · 594 bans
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
357 picks · 925 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 69%
Hero pool strength59% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:16
Dead Denasty 20%Wildcard Gaming 80%
The model gave 80% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 10:24.
Game 2prediction correct13:34
Dead Denasty 20%Wildcard Gaming 80%
The model gave 80% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 29:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 80%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2