PGL Wallachia Season 6. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDDemonioswin 2:0
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PAPerros angryyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Demonios
No games played over 6 months.
Perros angryy
Disruptor
FeelinG · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
FeelinG · 1 game
Undyingoften banned
FeelinG · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
435 picks · 406 bans
Snapfire
416 picks · 213 bans
Puck
347 picks · 912 bans
Pugna
325 picks · 366 bans
Warlock
289 picks · 143 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 224 bans
Queen of Pain
278 picks · 844 bans
Batrider
277 picks · 666 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% Demonios
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Demonios
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Demonios 54%Perros angryy 46%
The model gave 54% on Demonios — the game was taken by Demonios.
Game 2prediction correct
Demonios 54%Perros angryy 46%
The model gave 54% on Demonios — the game was taken by Demonios.
Model check result
Model favoriteDemonios · 54%
Series resultDemonios 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2