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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Devil_Kingsloss 0:1
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Devil_Kings

Axe
Axeoften banned
azimoff · 1 game
100%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Dinozavrik · 1 game
100%

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Xakoda · 30 games
53%
Lich
Lichsignature
Xakoda · 25 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rain · 16 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
not me · 15 games
73%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
not me · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Shigetsu · 15 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
not me · 14 games
50%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Shigetsu · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
489 picks · 331 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
347 picks · 462 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 524 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 501 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
314 picks · 650 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
288 picks · 318 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
273 picks · 199 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
262 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Devil_Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Devil_Kings 12%Yellow Submarine 88%
The model gave 88% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 88%
Series resultYellow Submarine 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1