BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
DEVO4KIwin 1:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:0
CASTINGloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
DEVO4KI
No games played over 6 months.
CASTING
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
501 picks · 678 bans
Muerta
476 picks · 408 bans
Batrider
467 picks · 594 bans
Clockwerk
462 picks · 569 bans
Tiny
450 picks · 527 bans
Gyrocopter
432 picks · 798 bans
Magnus
418 picks · 942 bans
Lion
399 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% DEVO4KI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% CASTING
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:30
DEVO4KI 40%CASTING 60%
The model gave 60% on CASTING — the game was taken by DEVO4KI in 47:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteCASTING · 60%
Series resultDEVO4KI 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1