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DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
DMSwin 1:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
9Pandasloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

DMS

Batrider
Batridersignature
aik · 8 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakiro
aik · 8 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 7 games
71%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
prblms · 7 games
43%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
prblms · 6 games
50%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Shigetsu · 6 games
50%
Visage
Visageoften banned
Daxak · 5 games
40%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Daxak · 4 games
75%

9Pandas

Weaver
Weaversignature
sayuw · 10 games
60%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 8 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 7 games
43%
Undying
Undying
Solo · 7 games
14%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 6 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
40%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
20%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
kiyotaka · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
358 picks · 345 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
354 picks · 405 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
46%
Pangolier
Pangolier
324 picks · 507 bans
49%
Sven
Sven
294 picks · 305 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
293 picks · 263 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
280 picks · 387 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
276 picks · 459 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% DMS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
DMS 47%9Pandas 53%
The model gave 53% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by DMS.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 53%
Series resultDMS 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1