DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
drago kingswin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FGFun gamersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
drago kings
No games played over 6 months.
Fun gamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Rubick
323 picks · 309 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 452 bans
Hoodwink
319 picks · 371 bans
Snapfire
319 picks · 269 bans
Dragon Knight
292 picks · 455 bans
Windranger
289 picks · 403 bans
Enchantress
282 picks · 491 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% drago kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% drago kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:37
drago kings 59%Fun gamers 41%
The model gave 59% on drago kings — the game was taken by drago kings in 44:22.
Game 2prediction correct31:16
drago kings 59%Fun gamers 41%
The model gave 59% on drago kings — the game was taken by drago kings in 20:12.
Model check result
Model favoritedrago kings · 59%
Series resultdrago kings 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2