BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDKDrago kingsloss 0:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nightshadewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Drago kings
No games played over 6 months.
Nightshade
Elder Titan
Kyzko · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ri4man · 3 games
Jakiro
jmn- · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
ChodΣX · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ri4man · 2 games
Tusk
Kyzko · 2 games
Underlordoften banned
ChodΣX · 2 games
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
ChodΣX · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
361 picks · 348 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
342 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
319 picks · 512 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
281 picks · 254 bans
Windranger
273 picks · 358 bans
Phoenix
270 picks · 474 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% Drago kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Drago kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed3:34
Drago kings 53%Nightshade 47%
The model gave 53% on Drago kings — the game was taken by Nightshade in 26:54.
Game 2prediction missed37:14
Drago kings 53%Nightshade 47%
The model gave 53% on Drago kings — the game was taken by Nightshade in 26:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteDrago kings · 53%
Series resultNightshade 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2