ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDDrago_Kingswin 1:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
RRizskiyGazMyassloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Drago_Kings
No games played over 6 months.
RizskiyGazMyass
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
422 picks · 525 bans
Clockwerk
371 picks · 362 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 447 bans
Luna
311 picks · 362 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 568 bans
Dark Willow
272 picks · 144 bans
Dragon Knight
260 picks · 345 bans
Shadow Demon
255 picks · 945 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Drago_Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% RizskiyGazMyass
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Drago_Kings 50%RizskiyGazMyass 50%
The model gave 50% on RizskiyGazMyass — the game was taken by Drago_Kings.
Model check result
Model favoriteRizskiyGazMyass · 50%
Series resultDrago_Kings 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1