ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionDDrago_Kingsloss 0:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Drago_Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Zero Tenacity
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Stojkov · 1 game
Muerta
Thiolicor · 1 game
Pugna
LeBronDota · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
432 picks · 556 bans
Clockwerk
376 picks · 380 bans
Pangolier
329 picks · 442 bans
Luna
316 picks · 374 bans
Enchantress
301 picks · 578 bans
Dark Willow
278 picks · 149 bans
Dragon Knight
266 picks · 344 bans
Batrider
258 picks · 242 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:30
Drago_Kings 36%Zero Tenacity 64%
The model gave 64% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 23:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 64%
Series resultZero Tenacity 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1