FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Dragon Esportswin 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HHabibisloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dragon Esports
Pangolieroften banned
dualrazee · 29 games
Beastmastersignature
Infernal · 23 games
Morphlingoften banned
lil pleb · 23 games
Tuskoften banned
Mary_y · 21 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
lil pleb · 17 games
Invokeroften banned
dualrazee · 17 games
Phoenix
Mary_y · 17 games
Medusaoften banned
lil pleb · 16 games
Habibis
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
481 picks · 664 bans
Clockwerk
427 picks · 497 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 550 bans
Dark Willow
360 picks · 185 bans
Batrider
330 picks · 356 bans
Luna
329 picks · 433 bans
Invoker
312 picks · 854 bans
Dragon Knight
310 picks · 585 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Habibis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Dragon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:47
Dragon Esports 81%Habibis 19%
The model gave 81% on Dragon Esports — the game was taken by Dragon Esports in 30:48.
Game 2prediction correct21:32
Dragon Esports 81%Habibis 19%
The model gave 81% on Dragon Esports — the game was taken by Dragon Esports in 27:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteDragon Esports · 81%
Series resultDragon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2