BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Dragon Esportswin 1:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Wwhiskasloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dragon Esports
Ursaoften banned
paw · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 10 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
paw · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
dualrazee · 8 games
Morphlingoften banned
paw · 7 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Norma · 7 games
Sand Kingoften banned
dualrazee · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Norma · 6 games
whiskas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
374 picks · 357 bans
Hoodwink
363 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 256 bans
Pangolier
332 picks · 525 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
290 picks · 500 bans
Ember Spirit
282 picks · 595 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 342 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)18% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% whiskas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Dragon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Dragon Esports 52%whiskas 48%
The model gave 52% on Dragon Esports — the game was taken by Dragon Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteDragon Esports · 52%
Series resultDragon Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1